Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.410860 0.454798 0.502026 0.556656 0.618226 0.685599 0.765080
2025-05-11 0.340166 0.400842 0.470905 0.558193 0.664580 0.790734 0.952690
2025-05-18 0.302411 0.371414 0.454995 0.564498 0.705368 0.882095 1.123116
2025-05-25 0.267321 0.339061 0.429271 0.552265 0.717486 0.934465 1.245483
2025-06-01 0.247779 0.323314 0.421491 0.560201 0.753958 1.019254 1.417430
2025-06-08 0.227539 0.304175 0.406650 0.555958 0.771749 1.078278 1.557581
2025-06-15 0.213366 0.291647 0.399099 0.560209 0.800621 1.154208 1.729187
2025-06-22 0.197311 0.274970 0.384034 0.551730 0.809150 1.199690 1.857578
2025-06-29 0.184185 0.261329 0.371999 0.546228 0.820910 1.250114 1.998023
2025-07-06 0.167997 0.241989 0.350062 0.523642 0.803611 1.252305 2.057452
2025-07-13 0.161099 0.235930 0.347408 0.530466 0.833298 1.332607 2.258729
2025-07-20 0.154631 0.230014 0.344424 0.536281 0.861439 1.412370 2.467529
2025-07-27 0.148004 0.223549 0.340327 0.540268 0.887381 1.491800 2.687517
2025-08-03 0.141280 0.216501 0.334818 0.541447 0.908543 1.564832 2.904731
2025-08-10 0.136153 0.211638 0.332426 0.547556 0.938661 1.656631 3.169989
2025-08-17 0.127986 0.201301 0.320299 0.535741 0.935041 1.684585 3.307874
2025-08-24 0.124082 0.197762 0.319282 0.543405 0.967998 1.785600 3.612379
2025-08-31 0.118395 0.190876 0.312096 0.539308 0.978111 1.842295 3.827445
2025-09-07 0.114516 0.186829 0.309526 0.543413 1.004289 1.933689 4.132337
2025-09-14 0.108926 0.179510 0.300755 0.535225 1.005298 1.972806 4.320816
2025-09-21 0.104170 0.173396 0.293769 0.529912 1.011588 2.023541 4.543702
2025-09-28 0.097271 0.163149 0.278770 0.508097 0.982118 1.993895 4.564665
2025-10-05 0.094923 0.160921 0.278280 0.514687 1.012624 2.099690 4.942270